Our in-house NBA Expert Dodgemoney Breaks down his best bets for Game 3
The ever so pivotal Game 3 of the 2022 NBA Finals is upon us and the Boston Celtics will host the Golden
State Warriors at the TD Garden. In theory, this particular Game 3 matchup is not a ‘must win’, however,
based on the percentages, that is exactly what history is telling us. The NBA Finals have been tied 1-1 on
39 different occasions heading into Game 3, and the team that has gone on to win Game 3 went on to win
the title 82% of the time. The Warriors are looking to take back home court advantage while the Celtics
are looking to continue to their streak of avoiding back-to-back losses in the playoffs. In fact, both the
Celtics and Warriors have responded well to losses in these playoffs. The Celtics are 6-0 this post season
after coming off a loss, whereas the Warriors are 5-0 in the playoffs.
Though the Celtics must be relieved about the thought of heading home and stealing a win while on the
road, they must be aware that the record of 3-4 in their last seven home playoff games is lackluster at
best. To be frank, had the Warriors not completely collapsed in the fourth quarter of Game 1, this series
could very likely be 2-0 right now with a very different feel. The Celtics truly have thrived on the road,
capturing eight road wins thus far in the post season.
It is my belief that the Celtics will bounce back from the Game 2 thrashing that the Warriors put on them
and make the proper adjustments. The main adjustments being how to defend the Warriors pick-and-roll
offense, minimizing the careless turnovers, avoiding the aimless offense, and not letting the Warriors pull
off one of their notorious third-quarter runs. They have shown time and time again throughout these
playoffs that they stick together and respond well to adversity. And one would have to think that Marcus
Smart and Al Horford will be better than their Game 2 combined 2 of 10 shooting with a total of four points.
Best Bets for Game 3!
One Unit on Boston Celtics -3.5 -110
One Unit on First Half u107.5 -115
One Unit on Jaylen Brown o1.5 Steals + Blocks -110
One Unit on Andrew Wiggins o5.5 Rebounds -115
One Unit on Klay Thompson u19.5 Points -130
Bonus Picks from our other writers –
Maxipad – Game 3 is always pivotal to a series, this seems like it’s going to be a weird one. I know one thing about this series for sure – the fact that home court means absolutely nothing. Both these teams play great on the road and for that reason I am pretty much going to take the underdog (baring any injuries) in every single game this series. Warriors are looking to go up 2-1 and the amount of trash talking going on can only be good for the veteran team who has been to the finals 6 of the last 8 years. Look for Steph to make it clear that he is both the Finals MVP and the best shooter to ever do it! One unit on the Warriors +3.5.
Billy J – The Celtics finally return home after a 3-game hiatus from the TD Garden and host a pivotal game 3 against the Warriors. In Game 2 Jayson Tatum dazzled behind the arc in a losing effort in game 2 by going 6 for 9 from deep. We’ve seen Tatum in the playoffs get in the double digits in terms of 3-point attempts per game, but not since the 15 he attempted against Milwaukee in game 6. Across the board we see the magic number at 3.5 for made threes. In the last two playoff series at home, Tatum has averaged around 8.5 threes attempted. With so much on the line game 3, I see Tatum taking more opportunities from deep and getting into double digit attempts again. If he can do that, I like his chances to hit around 40 % from deep to cash in on this prop play for plus odds.
The Pick: One unit on Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 Threes Made. Currently +120 on BetMGM
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