Even with rain expected during tonight’s game, I still don’t think it will be enough to slow down UCF’s offense against a Louisville squad that just got gutted by Cuse week 1. After failing to get a fair shot at being a college quarterback at Ole Miss, John Rhys Plumless appears to have
found a home in the AAC, and presents a similar challenge to the mobile Garrett Shrader that gave Louisville fits last week. I grabbed this line earlier in the week at -5.5, so buying half a point may not be a bad idea, but I like the Golden Knights and head coach Gus Malzahn to pull this
one out against a Cardinals team that could be reeling, coming in on a short week in the second of back to back road games to start the season.
Bonus Play – I would also sprinkle a little something on Malik Cunningham over 44.5 rushing yards -115 and Tiyon Evans over .5 touchdowns +110 in what could be a game dominated by the ground game due to weather.
Alabama 1H -13.5
I was hesitant to include this pick, because Bama 1H has been a gravy train for me the past 3 years, and I don’t want to jinx it by letting the cat out of the bag. Quinn Ewers struggled to get his footing in his first college start last week against Louisiana-Monroe, and things certainly
aren’t going to get any easier this week against the Tide’s defense which features one of college football’s best pass rush tandem in Will Anderson Jr. & Dallas Turner. Texas running back Bijan Robinson is the best running back in college football, and I expect the Longhorns to lean on him
heavily, but it won’t be nearly enough to keep this game close. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young was surgical in a tune up game against Utah State week 1, and I expect a heavier dose of Jahmry Gibbs in week 2 as well. I normally don’t bet Bama for the full game, since they’ve been prone to taking their foot off the gas in the second half, but I can see this being a statement game for Saban against his former assistant,
who unluckily for Sarkisian happens to be the first one he’s facing since getting embarrassed by Kirby Smart in last year’s National Championship game, so I wouldn’t be upset if you want to grab Alabama -20.5 as well here.
Bonus Play – Jahmyr Gibbs over 88.5 rushing yards -115
Wake Forest @ Vanderbilt over 65 points
This line has creeped up 3 points already from earlier in the week, but I still like the over, as Vandy quarterback Mike Wright has been a revelation thus far this season (granted against far lesser competition, so we’ll see whether he’s for real or not in his first actual test this week), and
Wake gets back stud quarterback and the heart of their program in Sam Hartman after missing week 1 due to recovering from a blood clot. Neither squad has a defense anyone should be afraid of, and I think points will be plentiful.
Iowa State +4
This line has moved up from +3.5, but I can’t for the life of me figure out why – did anyone actually watch how bad Iowa’s offense looked week 1 against South Dakota State?!?! I’m not saying that Iowa won’t win this game, because their defense is really, really good, but the
issues at quarterback that plagued them last season remain, and I think the Cyclones have enough firepower on offense to keep this game close.
Washington State @ Wisconsin under 49 points
I will admit, I bought into the hype around Cameron Ward, so much to the point I took him #1
overall in my dynasty college football fantasy league, but I certainly didn’t like what I saw week 1 against an inferior Idaho team. After lighting the competition on fire at Incarnate Word the past two seasons, I really didn’t expect the move to a P5 program to be a struggle for him, especially
given that how he was following his former head coach at Incarnate Word, Eric Morris, to Washington State, after Morris accepted the offensive coordinator job. I can admit when I’m wrong, though, and I am definitely worried about how the Cougars offense is going to perform in
their first road test of the season against an always stout Badgers defense.
I don’t think very highly of Graham Mertz, but Wisconsin running back Braelon Allen should fiest against a below average PAC-12 defense. Despite that, I still don’t see Wisconsin putting up enough points for this game to hit the over.
Bonus Play – Braelon Allen over 129.5 rushing yards -115 & over 1.5 rushing touchdowns +120